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OFFSHORE E-NEWS
October 2000

THE TOP MOST REQUESTED
OFFSHORE RISK SERVICES


"Naturally, the use of risk is not new to offshore. What's interesting, though, is the increasing importance of risk in determining the viability of projects and designs."

--Frank Puskar
EQE Houston Group Manager

 

omparative risk studies, particularly to investigate deepwater FPSOs, top the list

of the most requested offshore risk services, according to EQE Houston Group Manager, Frank Puskar. While a comparative risk study is most often applied to an aspect of design – for instance, routing of a riser through or external to a spar hull; isolation strategy for a deepwater riser; or comparison of double to single bottom hull designs for FPSOs – a growing trend has been the use of comparative risk in offshore design competitions. Owners are looking to EQE to help decide between competing proposals, balancing out such variables as capital expenditure against further reduction of safety, health and environmental risk and, later, lifecycle maintenance.

Other offshore risk services gaining a lot of attention include: cost and schedule risk (also called programmatic risk) to evaluate a cost and schedule's accuracy and quantitative risk assessments providing formal safety studies, as required by regulators and/or company standards.

"Naturally, the use of risk is not new to offshore. What's interesting, though, is the increasing importance of risk in determining the viability of projects and designs," said Puskar. "Before this, a lot of emphasis was placed on experience. But as projects move to deeper water and as designs become more innovative, questions arise that cannot be answered by experience. That is one area where risk can be of additional value."

Cost and Schedule Risk

EQE has received several recent contracts to provide independent review of proposed costs and schedules for new offshore projects. Frequently, these programmatic assessments are requested by oil and gas clients to assure themselves that the cost and schedule submitted by a primary contractor is feasible. In a growing number of cases, however, primary contractors seek an assessment so that they can, in turn, submit it with their proposal during the bidding process, thus providing a high degree of assurance that the project has been planned thoroughly and all known risks have been addressed with appropriate contingency measures.

Programmatic risk assessment portrays the accuracy of the cost and schedule based on many variables, including market factors, material prices and availability, labor supply, complexity of designs, and other factors. As a result, this assessment can also highlight areas where slippage may occur.

"A programmatic risk assessment can help owners discover the most effective means of controlling construction projects and EPIC Contractors to optimize their project strategy," said Puskar. "Used at an early phase, the assessment can help shore up areas of slippage and promote the success of a project. This is especially important when a single offshore unit may be requiring an overall investment in the multi-millions or billions and cost and schedule errors can quickly compound."


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